Recently on http://reddit.com/r/CISSP , I have notice a LOT more individuals passing the new adaptive format CISSP exam. Before, I would see one or two a week stating that they passed, now it seems like a flood of new CISSPs are diluting the market.
Opinions? Has anyone else heard anything?
This question gets asked a lot. I think fundamentally, the answer is a qualified, "No."
First, let's look at your data source. You are observing an increase in the rate of posts indicating passing scores. What are the contributors to that? Here are some contributing variables you have to eliminate or account for:
(a) More members have discovered the Reddit and joined it as part of their quest for study tips; or
(b) More people are attempting the CISSP because of the change to CAT (the 6 hour proctored exam was a barrier to entry due to medical issues, timing of test delivery, etc. that have all been resolved in transitioning to CAT).
Second, let's look at data provided by (ISC)^2. (ISC)^2 indicated that their pass rate has not changed with any statistical relevance. There is roughly the same amount of passing scores to attempts as with the paper exam. Although the number of attempts has increased (thus increasing the number of passed exams).
Funny you bring this up. I haven't seen or heard anything. But I was thinking when I read the change that I can't see how reducing the number of questions from 225 to 100 maintains the complexity of the exam. Just my opinion though, and I am certainly no exam testing expert. Although, I see this as a matter of common sense.
Today, there are 127,734 CISSPs. 3 years ago, there were 100,000. Doing a bit of math, in the first 25 years, there was average net growth of 77 CISSPs per week. In the last 3 years, it has been 167 per week.
This tells us either that (ISC)² marketing efforts are successful or that the test is getting easier. It also tells us that 1 or 2 "I passed" reports per week is not a large enough sample to draw meaningful conclusions.
The more relevant measure is to know the official pass rate (the number that pass as compared to the number that take the exam). (ISC)² does not disclose the pass rate, but they have reported that it has not changed as a result of transition to adaptive testing.
Adding to @Baechle's comments, I suspect it has to do with people being more willing to publicly share accomplishments. Before 2007, I only knew what you had for lunch if we happened to be in the same restaurant. With our kids, we just need to look on their social media accounts.
With the number of unfilled job openings that require CISSP, I think that 2 or 3 times the number of CISSP certs could be issued and the open billets may just get filled. So @MiKeMcDnet I don't think we are being diluted by new CISSP's joining the ranks.
Just as a reminder, DoD is requiring varying certs and this is probably finally making it's way through procurement, contracting etc. CISSP covers many of the requirements.
I also think that the younger generation is much more apt to use social media and share on there.